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> The information about how the world operates exists or can be generated The hubris of mathematics. At what scale does whether prediction become 100 percent a
by zer00eyz 2y ago
> The information about how the world operates exists or can be generated
The hubris of mathematics. At what scale does whether prediction become 100 percent accurate? How large of a model do you need, and how big of a computer to run it?
Do we thing that reducing the world to a model and feeding it through (what isnt even close to a model) of "thought" or "interaction" or ... what ever you want to bill and LLM as is going to be any more accurate than weather prediction?
- solidasparagus 2y ago100 percent accurate will never happen, nor does it need to. But think about the intelligence of an average human. Can we beat that? At least along some collection of concrete axes, enough to create a form of intelligence that can rightfully be called general? It remains to be seen, but the days where I scoffed at that idea are firmly in the past where they belong. Today we are building machines with intelligence high enough that it is forcing us to reconsider and redefine what intelligence is. And there is a huge amount of progress just sitting in front of us, waiting to be fed into models.
- sainez 2y agoEven AGI as a whole is overhyped. It's a valuable goal, but AI that beats humans on narrow metrics is still economically valuable because of scale.
- ambicapter 2y agoAre you arguing that weather prediction isn't very good right now? Within a day or two it's very, very good, no?