2 ms·
Reminds me of [1]. We are good at estimating the median but not the mean. [1] https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-
by mif 2y ago
Reminds me of [1]. We are good at estimating the median but not the mean.
[1] https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model.html https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-l...
- baq 2y agoAlso made this exact association. My takeaway: when estimating unknown quantities in software development you can treat means as infinite thus making any project unestimatable (management hates this reasoning - a friend told me, pinky promise); otherwise assign some non-zero probability than any mean will be 10-100x of the estimate.