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We'd expect zero evidence either way, until it happened, in a hard takeoff scenario (which is what I've mostly seen claimed). There's evidence that LLMs won't
by wizzwizz4 2y ago
We'd expect zero evidence either way, until it happened, in a hard takeoff scenario (which is what I've mostly seen claimed).
There's evidence that LLMs won't scale to AGI (both theoretical limiting arguments, and now mounting evidence that those theoretical arguments are correct), so this point is moot, but still.
- srcreigh 2y agolink to the limiting arguments you’re referring to?
- JumpCrisscross 2y ago> We'd expect zero evidence either way, until it happened Why? The only null we have, the organic evolution of tool-building intelligence, was iterative.