So, given that Microsoft is the company with the most direct access to ChatGPT (it can dictate who the CEO is, it runs on their cloud compute platform, etc.), w

So, given that Microsoft is the company with the most direct access to ChatGPT (it can dictate who the CEO is, it runs on their cloud compute platform, etc.), we should see the proof of this improved productivity soon, when Microsoft starts releasing software improvements at an unprecedented rate, yes? No need to argue about whether or not LLM's can improve productivity; we have a giant canary in the coalmine (except in a positive sense). If ChatGPT really improves net programmer productivity, we will see Microsoft becoming the most productive software company. Given that they've had ChatGPT for a couple years now, we should be seeing the fruits of this soon. If, a year from now, we don't see any evidence of Microsoft's productivity increasing in any way that's noticeable from the outside, we'll have our answer, from empirical data.