https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane2024/May/hurricane.shtml https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane202... > The outlook

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane2024/May/hurricane.shtml https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane202... > The outlook calls for an 85% chance of an above-normal season, along with a 10% chance for a near-normal season and a 5% chance for a below-normal season. See NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. The updated 2024 outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity during the 2024 hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1st through November 30th: 17-25 Named Storms 8-13 Hurricanes 4-7 Major Hurricanes Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 150%-245% of the median