Hype or not, evaluate the tech for what it is. Just because there's too much hype doesn't invalidate the tech. The hype is directionally correct, although the m

Hype or not, evaluate the tech for what it is. Just because there's too much hype doesn't invalidate the tech. The hype is directionally correct, although the magnitude may be off. Or maybe not. We have very smart AI/RL researchers claiming AGI in 2-5 years. Dismissing this could be the same as dismissing the nuclear bomb in 1942. Maybe there's one or several missing components, but just like physics can predict a nuclear chain reaction, scaling laws show empirically what happens when you add more data, more compute and increase the model size. Pair that with Moore's law and that's why AI researchers are so confident we haven't plateaued.