3 ms·
Eh, it's still untested because they don't really do anything involving humans anymore. So how are they better at quantifying risk? Smoke.
by metadat 2y ago
Eh, it's still untested because they don't really do anything involving humans anymore. So how are they better at quantifying risk? Smoke.
- bryanlarsen 2y agoSo was Apollo. If I assert that each Apollo mission had a 1 in 4 chance of killing astronauts they didn't do enough flights to prove me wrong. NASA aims for a 1 in 400 chance. You'd need thousands of flight to prove that level of risk. They have to rely on risk modelling.
- metadat 2y agoNo? Apollo ran more than a dozen times and failed one time. And even then, what's a human life worth? Not a billion dollars, not even my own life is worth that much if we're being honest. Progress is pretty good. Something has been lost and is missing today with folks more eager to get home before traffic gets too heavy.
- bryanlarsen 2y agoIf you roll a 4 sided die twelve times, getting a single "1" is a likely outcome. Getting a "1" 3 times is more likely, but not significantly so.