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> While Mexico’s brutal heatwave has been linked to the deaths of at least 26 people since March, veterinarians and rescuers say it has killed dozens and perhap

> While Mexico’s brutal heatwave has been linked to the deaths of at least 26 people since March, veterinarians and rescuers say it has killed dozens and perhaps hundreds of howler monkeys. Since March!

banish-m4 2y ago
Damn and damn El Niño. 109 F / 42 C. I guess we know where all of the tornadic and derechic energy affecting the South and central US is coming from. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-105.06,26.24,2694/loc=-99.130,25.139 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/ove... Tecolutilla, Tabasco specifically https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-97.89,18.33,4037/loc=-93.597,18.214 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/ove...
- consumer451 2y ago
  According to this excellent Mindscape (Sean Carroll) podcast with Gavin Schmidt (Director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies,) there is a circle of climate modeling folks who make a yearly bet on the next year's global average temperature. They have been patting themselves on the back for over a decade with how good their estimates have been, Ninos and Ninas, all factored in. Their estimates were generally rising, but as a group they were always within range. This was the first year where everyone was wrong, as it actually got way hotter. Podcast: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/05/20/276-gavin-schmidt-on-measuring-predicting-and-protecting-our-climate/ https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/05/20/276-... Data: https://berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-temperature-update/ https://berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-temperature-update/ - Globally, March 2024 was nominally the warmest March since records began in 1850. - The previous record for warmest March was broken by only a very small margin (0.01 °C), within uncertainties this means March 2024 essentially tied with March 2016. - The ocean-average also set new records for the warmest March. - The land-average was the 3rd warmest observed, behind 2016 and 2023. - Particularly warm conditions occurred in parts of North America, Asia, South America, Africa, and large areas of the Atlantic. - No regions exhibited unusually cold monthly averages in March. - 43 countries set new national monthly-average records for February. - El Niño has weakened to a moderate category, and is likely to end by mid-2024. - 2024 is very likely to be either the warmest or second warmest year on record.
  - banish-m4 2y ago
    I recall a video from Paul Beckwith mentioned a survey of climate researchers believed on average we're headed to around +3C by 2100, but some believed it could be +5C or more. I suspect we're headed for a near hypercane somewhere in the world by 2050 because too many models were too conservative and there is not nearly enough uniform urgency and leadership to drive net zero. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8IGNJS4JIs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8IGNJS4JIs

banish-m4 2y ago

Damn and damn El Niño. 109 F / 42 C. I guess we know where all of the tornadic and derechic energy affecting the South and central US is coming from. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-105.06,26.24,2694/loc=-99.130,25.139 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/ove... Tecolutilla, Tabasco specifically https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-97.89,18.33,4037/loc=-93.597,18.214 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/ove...

consumer451 2y ago
According to this excellent Mindscape (Sean Carroll) podcast with Gavin Schmidt (Director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies,) there is a circle of climate modeling folks who make a yearly bet on the next year's global average temperature. They have been patting themselves on the back for over a decade with how good their estimates have been, Ninos and Ninas, all factored in. Their estimates were generally rising, but as a group they were always within range. This was the first year where everyone was wrong, as it actually got way hotter. Podcast: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/05/20/276-gavin-schmidt-on-measuring-predicting-and-protecting-our-climate/ https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/05/20/276-... Data: https://berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-temperature-update/ https://berkeleyearth.org/march-2024-temperature-update/ - Globally, March 2024 was nominally the warmest March since records began in 1850. - The previous record for warmest March was broken by only a very small margin (0.01 °C), within uncertainties this means March 2024 essentially tied with March 2016. - The ocean-average also set new records for the warmest March. - The land-average was the 3rd warmest observed, behind 2016 and 2023. - Particularly warm conditions occurred in parts of North America, Asia, South America, Africa, and large areas of the Atlantic. - No regions exhibited unusually cold monthly averages in March. - 43 countries set new national monthly-average records for February. - El Niño has weakened to a moderate category, and is likely to end by mid-2024. - 2024 is very likely to be either the warmest or second warmest year on record.
- banish-m4 2y ago
  I recall a video from Paul Beckwith mentioned a survey of climate researchers believed on average we're headed to around +3C by 2100, but some believed it could be +5C or more. I suspect we're headed for a near hypercane somewhere in the world by 2050 because too many models were too conservative and there is not nearly enough uniform urgency and leadership to drive net zero. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8IGNJS4JIs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8IGNJS4JIs