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What probability for extinction do you consider to be low enough that it effectively becomes a Pascalian wager? Pascal was also writing about a single person's
by N0b8ez 2y ago
What probability for extinction do you consider to be low enough that it effectively becomes a Pascalian wager? Pascal was also writing about a single person's fate (AFAICT), whereas this is about the fate of everyone.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- null0pointer 2y agoThe point is that the probability doesn’t matter because the outcome, total human extinction, is given infinite weight.
- N0b8ez 2y agoMaybe Pascal argued that way for the human soul, but I don't think the AI risk argument needs infinite value to be at stake. Would you say that preparing for the risk of a solar flare or an asteroid impact is also a Pascalian wager?