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Unfortunately, you can't prove the program did not work. If I purchase a can of alligator repellent spray, and after using it I am attacked by one alligator, t
by Borealid 2y ago
Unfortunately, you can't prove the program did not work.
If I purchase a can of alligator repellent spray, and after using it I am attacked by one alligator, that isn't proof the spray failed. If I were to have failed to use the spray, it's possible I would have been attacked by FOUR alligators.
In other words, absent an experiment with a control you can't draw conclusions about the success or failure of a dissuasionary program because you don't know how many things were dissuaded.
- wahnfrieden 2y agoYou’re welcome to look up the program and the evaluations of its success that don’t come from police and ex-police govt sources and see for yourself. Your impossible standard is useless for evaluating police investment
- Borealid 2y agoI'm just pointing out the logical fallacy in saying "crime rates did not decline faster than elsewhere, therefore the investment was unsuccessful". That observation, alone, doesn't prove anything about the impact had by the program.
- wahnfrieden 2y agothose weren't my words. anyway I added additional clarification to appease