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You don't seem self consistent in your beliefs. Not even an hour ago you commented on a thread that self-driving vehicles will not exist any time in the near fu
by thegrim33 2y ago
You don't seem self consistent in your beliefs. Not even an hour ago you commented on a thread that self-driving vehicles will not exist any time in the near future, and yet here you're proposing that "ai" is going to replace developers soon?
You believe that "ai" will be capable of the logical gymnastics that development requires, to replace developers, but that the same level of "ai" isn't anywhere near capable of taking in camera/sensor input and outputting proper accelerate/turn outputs in order to drive a vehicle?
In my mind the self-driving case is an easier, special case, subset of the task of general programming.
- janalsncm 2y agoOne data point: teenagers can drive cars but are rarely hired as developers. I haven’t quite thought it through enough to conclude that driving is easier though.
- serf 2y agoI think anyone attempting to compare the difficulty of abstractly related things runs into the problem of unrealized depth in the maneuver. you can spend a lifetime sharpening your developer skills, same goes for driving. in old age i've settled on the answer that most things really can't be compared in such terms. It runs into the donnie darko "not everything is black and white" issue real fast.
- lewispollard 2y agoTeenagers are rarely hired as professional drivers either, and they often learn how to write code.
- taylodl 2y agoWhen 70% to 80% of coding can be automated you can be productive with far fewer developers. Doesn't mean all developers are going away. Just like we have 75% fewer farmers than we had 100 years ago, but we still have farmers. There's still going to be developers 100 years from now, but significantly fewer than we have today.