5 ms·
See also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqu5DjzOBF8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqu5DjzOBF8 And note that if you think "Maybe we shouldn't be worried unti
by mapt 2y ago
See also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqu5DjzOBF8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqu5DjzOBF8
And note that if you think "Maybe we shouldn't be worried until we understand this"
In the past ~14 months things have taken off in ways that nobody who studies this stuff can fully explain yet (leading theory: cleaner fuel -> less sulfur dioxide forcing). We're 4 to 5 standard deviations from the 30-year mean in sea surface temperature right now.
https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/ https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/
The half of the human population that lives in South, East, and Southeast Asia have been under oppressive heatwaves in the past few days that have taken a sizable death toll.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/1cj2jev/heat_wave_in_south_and_south_east_asia_its/ https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/1cj2j...
The USDA just adjusted its planting map using 2022 data and indicated that average winter low temperatures in the US have risen 2.5 degrees over the past 10 years, and continue to rise.
It's looking like extreme wet bulb events and the peripheral consequences of extreme wet bulb events are going to be perhaps the biggest consequence of failing to control CO2 emissions, as the estimate of survivable wet bulb temperatures have been revised down, their importance has been revised up, and the number of outlier heatwaves have ticked up (Vancouver? Really?!). Less sea level rise, less crop failures from weather pattern changes, less hurricanes. Billions of people who come to recognize that an unluckily sunny August week without a breeze can kill a majority of the local population, are going to want to mitigate that risk. Heat pump air conditioning & insulated housing for every single temperate & tropical human residence would work as an alternative... good luck with that. Fail to provide that and you get multifocal crises involving refugees, nativist/nationalist sentiments, infrastructure deficits, and wars of conquest.
- PM_me_your_math 2y ago[dead]
- Animats 2y agoYes. Early estimates (1980s) indicated trouble around 2050-2100. Problems are appearing sooner than expected. Some problems were unexpected. Slow-moving storms, for example, causing flooding in areas that usually don't have flooding. Small changes in ocean levels are amplified by rivers, which flood upstream because the water can't enter the ocean fast enough. Insurance companies are refusing to insure large regions.