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I don't know about that; I could see everyone drifting into a conflict no one wants, WW1 style. Recent events also are incentivizing small countries to go nucl
by pfdietz 3y ago
I don't know about that; I could see everyone drifting into a conflict no one wants, WW1 style.
Recent events also are incentivizing small countries to go nuclear, which will increase the risk of nuclear war. I expect South Korea, Japan, and maybe even the Philippines and Vietnam to acquire nuclear weapons at some point. Japan already has a capability to acquire nuclear weapons quickly, with their separated reactor-grade Pu stockpile.
- oldpersonintx 3y ago[dead]
- dangus 3y agoAcquiring nuclear weapons is not the same as using them. Nuclear weapons aren’t a combat armament. They are an insurance policy. They are a way to get adversaries to leave you alone or bring you to the negotiating table. I believe it was Kim Jong Il or Un or maybe both who directly stated this to insiders in their regime. They weren’t ever intended to be used, and those leaders were fully aware that any real conflict would result in their regime’s annihilation. Their #1 goal was preservation of their family monarchy. Nuclear war is the opposite of that. Source: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9169656/ https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9169656/
- pfdietz 3y agoThe argument "war won't occur, it's irrational" isn't a good one. Both WW1 and WW2 were irrational, but they happened anyway. If actors were perfectly rational no wars would occur.