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It has only been a little over one year since GPT-4 was announced, and it was at the time the largest and most expensive model ever trained. It might still be.
by AaronFriel 2y ago
It has only been a little over one year since GPT-4 was announced, and it was at the time the largest and most expensive model ever trained. It might still be.
Perhaps it's worth taking a beat and looking at the incredible progress in that year, and acknowledge that whatever's next is probably "still cooking".
Even Meta is still baking their 400B parameter model.
- bamboozled 2y agoLegit love progress
- 1024core 2y agoAs Altman said (paraphrasing): GPT-4 is the _worst_ model you will ever have to deal with in your life (or something to that effect).
- andrepd 2y agoI will believe it when I see it. People like to point at the first part of a logistic curve and go "behold! an exponential".
- nwienert 2y agoAh yes my favorite was the early covid numbers, some of the "smartest" people in the SF techie scene were daily on Facebook thought-leadering about how 40% of people were about to die in the likely case.
- noSyncCloud 2y agoLet's be honest, everyone was speculating. Nobody knew what the future would bring, not even you.
- nwienert 2y agoThe difference is some people were talking a whole lot confidently, and some weren’t.
- tiptup300 2y agoand boy did the stockholders like that one.
- dyauspitr 2y agoWhat stockholders. They’re investors at this point. I wish I could get in on it.
- talldayo 2y agoThey're rollercoaster riders, being told lusterous stories by gold-panners while the shovel salesman counts his money and leaves.
- dyauspitr 2y agoThere are no shovels or shovel sellers. It’s heavily accredited investors with millions of dollars buying in. It’s way above our pay grade, our pleb sayings don’t apply.
- dvfjsdhgfv 2y agoWhy should I believe anything he says?
- markk 2y agoI found this statement by Sam quite amusing. It transmits exactly zero information (it's a given that models will improve over time), yet it sounds profound and ambitious.
- ripper1138 2y agoI got the same vibe from him on the All In podcast. For every question, he would answer with a vaguely profound statement, talking in circles without really saying anything. On multiple occasions he would answer like 'In some ways yes, in some ways no...' and then just change the subject.
- markk 2y agoYep. I'm not quite sure what he's up to. He takes all these interviews and basically says nothing. What's his objective? My guess is he wants OpenAI to become a household name, and so he optimizes for exposure.