3 ms·

That's extrapolating a lot from a low G5 storm. This wasn't a Carrington event. And storms can be worse than a Carrington event, even though that's unlikely.

deadbabe 2y ago
We could also be completely wiped out by a stray gamma ray blast, but it’s unlikely right.
- somenameforme 2y ago
  One of the leading hypotheses for the Ordovician mass extinction, the second largest ever, was a stray gamma ray burst. Earth regularly goes through mass extinction events and probably will continue to do so until the day all life is extinguished for good once it's encompassed in our dying star. The interesting thing about these mass extinction events is twofold. The first is that they are (1) extremely improbable and (2) will continue to repeatedly happen. And they will never suddenly become more probable. The day before the Ordovician mass extinction kicked off would have very likely been just like any other normal day, even with modern tech. Somebody always wins the lottery sooner or later. The same would also be true even if only one ticket was sold a day. And tickets for the latest drawing have been on sell for about 65 million years.
  - delichon 2y ago
    > One of the leading hypotheses for the Ordovician mass extinction, the second largest ever, was a stray gamma ray burst. Wikipedia currently characterizes it as more of a trailing hypothesis: A minority hypothesis to explain the first burst has been proposed by Philip Ball,[100] Adrian Lewis Melott, and Brian C. Thomas ... Although the gamma-ray burst hypothesis is consistent with some patterns at the onset of extinction, there is no unambiguous evidence that such a nearby gamma-ray burst ever happened. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Ordovician_mass_extinction#Gamma-ray_burst https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Ordovician_mass_extinctio...
- minitoar 2y ago
  I believe those two events differ in frequency by at least a few orders of magnitude.
  - deadbabe 2y ago
    After a certain level of improbability, you can basically assume an improbable event will never happen at all, and live life accordingly.
    - peddling-brink 2y ago
      As an individual, you are responsible for yourself, and preparing for every improbable event would not be a good time / life enjoyment trade off. As a society, we are responsible for not only our society, but we also set the stage for the entire future of the human race. Though an improbable event probably won’t happen tomorrow, we can say with a certain amount of assurance that it will happen in the future. Therefore we can and should prepare for these events.
      - deadbabe 2y ago
        We’ve barely prepared for extremely probable events.

deadbabe 2y ago

We could also be completely wiped out by a stray gamma ray blast, but it’s unlikely right.

somenameforme 2y ago
One of the leading hypotheses for the Ordovician mass extinction, the second largest ever, was a stray gamma ray burst. Earth regularly goes through mass extinction events and probably will continue to do so until the day all life is extinguished for good once it's encompassed in our dying star. The interesting thing about these mass extinction events is twofold. The first is that they are (1) extremely improbable and (2) will continue to repeatedly happen. And they will never suddenly become more probable. The day before the Ordovician mass extinction kicked off would have very likely been just like any other normal day, even with modern tech. Somebody always wins the lottery sooner or later. The same would also be true even if only one ticket was sold a day. And tickets for the latest drawing have been on sell for about 65 million years.
- delichon 2y ago
  > One of the leading hypotheses for the Ordovician mass extinction, the second largest ever, was a stray gamma ray burst. Wikipedia currently characterizes it as more of a trailing hypothesis: A minority hypothesis to explain the first burst has been proposed by Philip Ball,[100] Adrian Lewis Melott, and Brian C. Thomas ... Although the gamma-ray burst hypothesis is consistent with some patterns at the onset of extinction, there is no unambiguous evidence that such a nearby gamma-ray burst ever happened. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Ordovician_mass_extinction#Gamma-ray_burst https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Ordovician_mass_extinctio...
minitoar 2y ago
I believe those two events differ in frequency by at least a few orders of magnitude.
- deadbabe 2y ago
  After a certain level of improbability, you can basically assume an improbable event will never happen at all, and live life accordingly.
  - peddling-brink 2y ago
    As an individual, you are responsible for yourself, and preparing for every improbable event would not be a good time / life enjoyment trade off. As a society, we are responsible for not only our society, but we also set the stage for the entire future of the human race. Though an improbable event probably won’t happen tomorrow, we can say with a certain amount of assurance that it will happen in the future. Therefore we can and should prepare for these events.
    - deadbabe 2y ago
      We’ve barely prepared for extremely probable events.