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The reason why Russia invaded Ukraine wasn't because of NATO but to maintain their sphere of influence, and apparently reclaim the Russian empire.[1] Indeed, it
by kiba 2y ago
The reason why Russia invaded Ukraine wasn't because of NATO but to maintain their sphere of influence, and apparently reclaim the Russian empire.[1] Indeed, it is Russia's greatest strategic mistake if they wish to push against the expansion of NATO. Sweden and Finland joined, and the Eastern Europeans are particularly vocal in their support of Ukraine and why they joined NATO in the first place.
Moreover, it wouldn't be in our interest to let another state invade another state for the express purpose of annexation and regime change. Our answer at minimum, must be the sanction of said state. If necessary, we will strangle their growth until they become like North Korea. Otherwise, our toleration will leads to further wars down the line and would be contrary to our democratic values and to the rule based international order.
I wouldn't also be too worried about WW3. It is unlikely that France would be involved, but it is clear that nukes is something that states are weary of, with good reason. I would call that nuclear blackmail which hobbled supporting Ukraine.
Recall the difficulty of getting Germany to send tanks or the controversy on the use of missiles like Storm Shadows. Now the British allowed the Ukrainian to use those missiles in attack on Russian territory. This is known as the escalation ladder and Russia seems to have a weaker hand since they backed down every time.
1. https://afsa.org/did-nato-expansion-really-cause-putins-invasion https://afsa.org/did-nato-expansion-really-cause-putins-inva...
- CamperBob2 2y agoRussia's greatest strategic mistake if they wish to push against the expansion of NATO. The Ukraine war isn't about NATO, of course, any more than it was about Nazis. It also wasn't a mistake. They aren't in it to win. I believe that Putin is deliberately trying to turn his country into a failed state that the rest of the world will have no choice but to prop up. When you realize that it is Putin who looks at Kim with envy, and not the other way around, a lot of seemingly-nonsensical things abruptly begin to make sense.
- CamperBob2 2y agoNot to complain about voting, but interestingly, I've advanced this theory multiple times on multiple venues and it gets downvoted without comment each time. Can't anyone actually come up with a counterargument, just for discussion's sake? Or simply ask a question that the proposal doesn't answer adequately? I can't think of such a question, and apparently neither can anyone else. The only admissible conclusion is that Putin wants to turn Russia into North Korea.