> Maybe it will actually be 2213 or 2313 instead. Our descendants (if one happens to have them) will find out. Peak-anything is just shorthand for "the first p

> Maybe it will actually be 2213 or 2313 instead. Our descendants (if one happens to have them) will find out. Peak-anything is just shorthand for "the first peak on record" because our culture and ability to record-keep has only really existed in a population and resource boom period. I agree that circumstances might mean that the global peak baby might be 200-300 years away, but the thing that makes the current round of peak-anything relevant is that we don't know how our social and economic systems will function when certain things are in long-term decline (even if they do pick up again in a few hundred years). If we knew what a few centuries of low birth rates or low oil consumption looked like, we wouldn't be nearly as interested in what "peak-those-things" means, the same way we're not all that interested in specific market peaks because we understand the boom/bust cycles and long-term productivity increases, etc.