>We’re in the midst of a scientific revolution right now, because 10 years ago, there was not the sense that AI was working. We’ve had these AI ‘winters’—a coup

>We’re in the midst of a scientific revolution right now, because 10 years ago, there was not the sense that AI was working. We’ve had these AI ‘winters’—a couple of them over the decades, in fact. It’s funny, because virtual reality also went through this: It had almost been a bad word because it had crashed so bad in the 1990s, people didn’t even want to talk about it. And artificial intelligence had a couple of those cycles where hype spins up, money flows in, it underperforms, and then it crashes, and nobody wants to talk about it. But this last decade was different, and people who don’t notice how different it is this time aren’t paying attention, because the number of absolutely astounding things that have happened in the last decade with machine learning is really profound. Is it that different? Except that the overal IT and comsumer computing industry is 1000x bigger and thus the money involved and the available hype too? Without some major breakthrough in LLMs, the current hotness will also fade, and the money will move elsewhere. We have a couple of years for that, judging from similar cycles (first they get to bundle AI to everything, and sell LLM based AI to the enterprise and consumer -- then the market dies of, and people start thinking "that was all there is?", that being more or less what current LLMs do).