3 ms·
If he had invested the prize in the S&P500, in order to be able to live from the investment income for 50 years (Michael was aged 33 when he won), he would have
by mrb 2y ago
If he had invested the prize in the S&P500, in order to be able to live from the investment income for 50 years (Michael was aged 33 when he won), he would have been able to withdraw only about $10,040 per year, in 1982 dollars, which is equivalent to $32,500 in today's dollars, which is a minimum wage salary. I don't think this is "reasonably comfortable".
The CAGR of the S&P 500, including dividends reinvested, inflation-adjusted, was about 9% in the 1982-2024 period [1], and my Python script below shows that starting with $110k, with this 9% CAGR, he would run out of money in about 50 years:
t = 110e3
for y in range(50):
t *= 1.09
t -= 10040
print(1982 + y, round(t))
Output:
1982 $109850
1983 $109687
1984 $109508
1985 $109314
1986 $109102
1987 $108871
1988 $108620
1989 $108346
1990 $108047
1991 $107721
1992 $107366
1993 $106979
1994 $106557
1995 $106097
1996 $105596
1997 $105049
1998 $104454
1999 $103805
2000 $103097
2001 $102326
2002 $101485
2003 $100569
2004 $99570
2005 $98482
2006 $97295
2007 $96001
2008 $94592
2009 $93055
2010 $91380
2011 $89554
2012 $87564
2013 $85394
2014 $83030
2015 $80453
2016 $77643
2017 $74581
2018 $71244
2019 $67606
2020 $63640
2021 $59318
2022 $54606
2023 $49471
2024 $43873
2025 $37772
2026 $31121
2027 $23872
2028 $15971
2029 $7358
2030 $-2030 # no more money
2031 $-12263
(But actually he died early in 1999, so if he had know that he could have spent more yearly...)
[1] https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/ https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/