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Fascinating article, thanks. > (There is a Moore’s Second Law, also known as Rock’s Law, which posits that the cost of a semiconductor fab doubles every four y
by kibwen 3y ago
Fascinating article, thanks.
> (There is a Moore’s Second Law, also known as Rock’s Law, which posits that the cost of a semiconductor fab doubles every four years.)
If this were to hold, then in under 30 years a single fab would cost more than three trillion dollars, which itself implies a hard upper bound on node improvements by way of economic considerations.
- meiraleal 3y agoIt's fascinating how precise this math is tho. 30 years ago, Microsoft matketcap was around the same 20bi. Today it's 3T. It would totally make sense for it to happen again.
- tim333 3y agoSam Altman was off trying to raise $7 trillion for chips the other day so maybe he's trying to get ahead to the curve.