4 ms·
What bothers me more is that there are different underlying mechanisms for - well, different kinds of inflation. Do interest rates really address them all? No.
by creer 2y ago
What bothers me more is that there are different underlying mechanisms for - well, different kinds of inflation. Do interest rates really address them all? No.
- "supply chain chaos" is a good excuse to raise prices
- artificially limited supply, will raise prices
- displaced bond supply, will raise equity prices
- world awash in printed money, will raise all prices
- interest rates too low, growth too high, raises prices
- world conflicts, sure why not
And for now there is mostly just one response: raise interest rates. Even that response is somewhat countered by:
- "but wait we must re-shore", floods money, will raise prices
If you posit that simply interest rates were too low, then sure, all other things being equal, you might raise interest rates and wait a while. Crude but not unreasonable. But what when you have a mess of underlying causes (some of which staggeringly large). Just slightly higher interest rates for a few months doesn't resolve all these other causes.
To be fair, it's not all bad: There are still a few now well established deflationary pressures and that's a good thing:
- awareness of competition, willingness to compete
- "low cost countries" manufacturing
- continuing tech advances
- willingness to substitute