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AI isn't, yet at least, replacing developers any more than it is replacing lawyers or any other job. It can help a developer code a function, or at least act as
by HarHarVeryFunny 3y ago
AI isn't, yet at least, replacing developers any more than it is replacing lawyers or any other job. It can help a developer code a function, or at least act as smart autocomplete (GitHub CoPilot), which is about the equivalent of helping a laywer write an e-mail - productivity tool, but not about to replace anyone.
There's a ton of work to be done before we get to the stage of AI replacing actual jobs - in the shorter term things like planning/reasoning, working memory and factuality need to be addressed, and to learn to do an actual job then you need online (incremental real-time) learning too. These all need architectural innovation - they are not a matter of scaling up.
Bear in mind that in the 7 years(!) since the Transformer was invented, all we've done is basically a bunch of engineering work to scale them up... The pace of AI improvement may seem fast, but here we are after 7 years with SOTA $100M AIs still struggling to do very basic logical tasks like the recent Twitter A::B 4-rule letter replacement challenge! It seems pretty clear that AI isn't going to be replacing developers any time soon!