2 ms·
Well luckily the mortality rate for 45-55 in the US is well-documented at 0.5%. Plugging that in the binomial calculator, P(X>=2) at 32 trials is... 0.09%!! As
by LZ_Khan 2y ago
Well luckily the mortality rate for 45-55 in the US is well-documented at 0.5%.
Plugging that in the binomial calculator, P(X>=2) at 32 trials is... 0.09%!! Astronomically low odds.
And you are right, their deaths are certainly not independent :)
- cbsmith 2y agoI'm not sure why you think the 0.5% figure is relevant. One of them was 62. Even if they were both 45-55, their risk of death would no doubt be dramatically higher than the mean. They were both whistle blowers, and not just ordinary whistle blowers, but whistle blowers in a high profile story. IIRC, at least one of them had been fired from their job in the last year. That's not average for that age group.