Yes and no. https://ourworldindata.org/population-projections https://ourworldindata.org/population-projections: “Many of the UN’s historical projections – eve

Yes and no. https://ourworldindata.org/population-projections https://ourworldindata.org/population-projections: “Many of the UN’s historical projections – even as far back as the 1960s – have been remarkably close to the truth.” That’s for the world population on relatively short time frames (20 to 30 years in the future), though. Things get harder if you take smaller groups of people or look further ahead. That’s why, if you look at the UN reports, you’ll see a huge spread in predictions for 2100. https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/wpp2022_summary_of_results.pdf https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.deve... for example predicts a world population of between (eyeballing the chart) 9 and 12 billion in 2100, and why this article says could and not will.