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Hey I was feeling particularly dour when I wrote this, but not everything is doom and gloom. AI/AGI will be able to solve any/all problems sometime between 2030
by zackmorris 2y ago
Hey I was feeling particularly dour when I wrote this, but not everything is doom and gloom. AI/AGI will be able to solve any/all problems sometime between 2030 and 2040. I take the alarmist position because I've been hit with bad news basically every day since the Dot Bomb and 9/11, and don't feel that I'm living my best life. But we can manifest a brighter tomorrow if we choose to:
'ChatGPT for CRISPR' creates new gene-editing tools:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-01243-w https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-01243-w
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40205961 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40205961
The intersection of AI with biology will enable us to free ourselves of the struggles of the human condition. Some (like me) are concerned about that, but others will run with it and potentially deliver heaven on Earth.
The way I see it all going is that a vanishingly small number of people, roughly 1 in 10,000 (the number of hackers/makers in society) will work in obscurity to solve the hard problems and get real work done on a shoestring budget. But we'll only hear about the thought leaders and billionaires who do little more than decide where the resources flow.
So the most effective place to apply our motivation, passion and expertise will be in severing the hold that capital has over innovation. Loosely that looks like UBI and the resource economy I mentioned, which I just learned has the name Universal Basic Services (UBS), and intentionally avoids complications from the money side being manipulated by moneyed interests:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_basic_services https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_basic_services
The idea is that by providing room and board akin to an academic setting, people will be free to apply their talents to their calling and work at an exponentially faster rate to get us to a tech utopia like Star Trek, instead of being stuck in the path we're on now towards a neofeudalist tech dystopia.
Sorry if I discouraged anyone. I truly believe that there is still hope!