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I think EV's (or similar, maybe hydrogen fuel cell, or carbon neutral methane/lpg; direct or used to charge a battery drive train) will eventually make sense fo
by hedora 3y ago
I think EV's (or similar, maybe hydrogen fuel cell, or carbon neutral methane/lpg; direct or used to charge a battery drive train) will eventually make sense for long haul trucking. In the worst case, route times will adjust, and 5 hour routes will turn into 5:30 routes.
However, they really should look for low hanging fruit and then try to expand out from there. Trucks that are stuck in stop-and-go traffic all the time are an obvious candidate (low MPG / high pollution per mile with diesel engines, and those applications have low aerodynamic drag and are a huge opportunity for regenerative braking).
I think commuter / local event busses are another obvious fit. I've started to see these around:
https://www.vanhool.com/en/vehicles/public-transport/batteryelectric https://www.vanhool.com/en/vehicles/public-transport/battery...
Even though these are replacing rear-engine diesels, some of the components will be common with semis. It'll help bootstrap the large vehicle battery + motor supply chain and fleet management logistics at the very least.
One thing to note is that they're using standard form factors. There's no reason to couple the vehicle layout to changes in the power train.
My guess is that Tesla's trying to replay the luxury -> midrange -> economy playbook that they used to bootstrap the EV supply chain. I don't see how that strategy will work a second time, since the supply chain has already been bootstrapped.
- JohnMakin 3y ago> In the worst case, route times will adjust, and 5 hour routes will turn into 5:30 routes. I think you are very seriously underestimating the complexity and economics behind trucking logistics and what a nightmare this would become.