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A country should never take on another country who has more men of military age and which has far more manufacturing capacity. That way lies destruction. Just
by simonblack 2y ago
A country should never take on another country who has more men of military age and which has far more manufacturing capacity.
That way lies destruction.
Just like Japan, while starting off WW2 with a more powerful military, couldn't maintain it's ascendancy over the US with its bigger industrial might and bigger population as the War in the Pacific progressed from 1942-1945, I fear that the US will not be able to maintain its power against a China that's four times bigger in population and maybe 10 times bigger in manufacturing capacity when War in the Pacific 2.0 begins in a couple of years.
- psadri 2y agoSo what’s your plan?
- simonblack 2y agoI don't have a plan. I'll just have to take each day as it comes, though I am expecting lots of bad stuff to happen. Because I'm old enough to have outlived a lot of my peers, I can accept that I won't be a survivor without too much angst, but I certainly won't be happy about it.
- xandrius 2y agoIf you think it's going to be US vs China, you're going to be absolutely wrong. If it remains a cold war then it's about friction and who can last longer but if it becomes active, the world will split into 3 factions as WWII and the numbers will shift.
- simonblack 2y agothe world will split into 3 factions One of those factions will be the West. Unfortunately for the West, the West is too small to be a major player and will be a big loser in WW3. Modern warfare is just arithmetic, and the West just doesn't have the numbers that stack up. The whole of the West is smaller than just China by itself. Also China has far more manufacturing capacity than the whole of the West combined. The West is going to get its ass kicked big time. If you put Russia and China together, you get something that has the huge raw material and energy resources of Russia plus the advanced technology of Russia plus the huge manufacturing capacity of China plus almost a quarter of the world's total population. A very hard combination to overcome.
- xandrius 2y agoIf you throw into the "West" India and Southeast Asia, the numbers start to change.
- simonblack 2y agoA good pointer whether those countries will side with the West is whether those countries put sanctions on Russia when the Western countries did after February 2022. The West has treated many countries badly, and yet still thinks those countries will side with it? Not likely at all. The chickens come home to roost. As Napoleon/Rommel/whoever is reputed to say, "God is on the side of the big battalions."
- freilanzer 2y ago> plus the advanced technology of Russia Yeah, I see this advanced technology at play in the Ukraine at the moment....