Btw, if you’re talking about models being launched in 2032 or later, then those will almost certainly be very niche models that will have very limited sales. I

Btw, if you’re talking about models being launched in 2032 or later, then those will almost certainly be very niche models that will have very limited sales. I made a projection of EV sales in Norway back in 2017, assuming that the growth will follow a logistics curve (S-curve) that most technology transition follows. The sales have tracked that projection almost perfectly ever since. I crunched the numbers for world EV sales. With a conservative assumption that puts several of the preceding years above the projection curve. This actually gives very similar parameters for the curve as for Norway, but with a time offset of about 7 years. The projection predicts that EV sales will hit 85% market share by 2030.