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It literally went from being a solved problem in 2015 - "I view it as a solved problem. We know exactly what we need to do and we will be there in a few years”
by FireBeyond 3y ago
It literally went from being a solved problem in 2015 - "I view it as a solved problem. We know exactly what we need to do and we will be there in a few years” - to somehow getting un-solved along the way. In 2022, "Our focus now is just on working on solving this problem".
- programmarchy 3y agoClassic 90/90 rule. Not surprising to anyone who has done innovative engineering. The last stretch is always the hardest.
- TaylorAlexander 3y agoIf it’s not surprising to anyone who has done innovative engineering, how did Elon miss it?
- klyrs 3y ago"Innovative engineering?" I think you mean "fundamental research." The classic ∞/100 rule?
- FireBeyond 3y agoI think most realistic beliefs are that FSD is a minimum of a decade away (personally, my belief is more than, and when it does come to life, it won't be Tesla)... Anyone who says "it's a solved problem, we just need to implement it" is deluding themselves, and as soon as you poke... it's qualifier, after qualifier, after qualifier. Tesla isn't in "the last stretch". Navigating around Pittsburgh at night in winter blizzard conditions, with poor roads and signage, whiteout over what street markings there are, and poor visibility? That's the last stretch, not "it handles roundabouts far better than it did in FSD version x-1!".