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I do not think that is true. Many nations have birthrates under the magical 2.1 required for population maintenance. I have not seen stats that say we are somet
by fbdab103 2y ago
I do not think that is true. Many nations have birthrates under the magical 2.1 required for population maintenance. I have not seen stats that say we are something like 2.6->2.5.
US is ~1.8
Korea is 0.78
- schoen 2y agoThat's not true for the world population yet, though!
- fbdab103 2y agoHeh. Silly American thoughts. This site[0] says Global birthrate is around 17.3. However, it has been dropping ~1% a year. It was 19.3 in 2014 and today it is 17.3. So indeed growing more slowly, but a strong trendline downwards. Table copied and limited to the decades: Year Birth Rate Growth Rate 2024 17.299 -0.940% 2020 18.077 -1.120% 2010 19.991 -0.870% 2000 21.733 -1.090% 1990 26.094 -2.400% 1980 28.192 -0.530% 1970 32.995 -1.520% 1960 35.346 -0.110% 1950 37.844 0.000% [0] https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/WLD/world/birth-rate https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/WLD/wor...
- Zod666 2y agoYou started with fertility rate and switched to birth rate. The world fertility rate is 2.4 so just a bit above the maintenance 2.1 level. But in pretty much all developed countries the fertility rate is well below replacement rates and no signs of it levelling off. In developed countries, more and more the norm is to not have children, or fewer of them later and later in live. Personally I don't think it's a good thing when we start closing schools cause there's not enough children to attend them but that's just me.