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> dates relating to climate issues keep getting moved forwards Funny how when the exact same thing happened measuring the charge of the electron (ie not deviat
by schiffern 3y ago
> dates relating to climate issues keep getting moved forwards
Funny how when the exact same thing happened measuring the charge of the electron (ie not deviating around the ultimate value, but systematically moving in one direction), it became the quintessential example—literally taught in schools—for detecting confirmation bias in scientific data.
https://scipython.com/blog/measurements-of-the-electron-charge-over-time/ https://scipython.com/blog/measurements-of-the-electron-char...
If the climate numbers are always being revised upward, it strongly indicates that the original predictions were being systematically fudged downwards. It's not hard to see why: governments and institutions don't want to be accused of "alarmism."
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- BlueTemplar 3y agoYour source looks like Feynman has perhaps embellished that story. Also, isn't it quite different when there's a canonical measurement (Millikan) versus where there isn't one (climate change) ?
- schiffern 3y ago>isn't it quite different when there's a canonical measurement Not really. For an unbiased estimator the "revisions" should be random (half upward and half downward), so if you're always making improvements in one direction you can infer some sort of systematic bias.