3 ms·
It isn't so much that the overall temperatures will change too much when averaged out, that would relate more to the slow down/stopping of the AMOC. First orde
by VelesDude 2y ago
It isn't so much that the overall temperatures will change too much when averaged out, that would relate more to the slow down/stopping of the AMOC.
First order effect, this would mean that you get less predictable weather events. Essentially, heat domes and artic blasts become much more persistent, sticking around for weeks or even months (worst case) rather than just brief periods.
Second order, A month long heat wave can kill a lot of crops followed by a month low wet spell that can completely flood the same area.
Third order effect, In metropolitan areas this is an inconvenience. For the food system, this is deadly.
Forth order effect, a fragile food system that feeds the metropolitan areas - things get dicey fast. Tough times, tough leaders, rise of authoritarianism etc. May you live in interesting times.
- hackerlight 2y agoThe fourth order effect is overlooked and it's my biggest short-term concern. In particular the destabilizing of low income countries near the equator in the face of precarious wet bulb temperatures, indirectly leading to the destabilizing of the global north in response to climate refugees fleeing the equator.
- VelesDude 2y agoShort term that is the biggest issue that I fear. I am in Australia and I have said it for many years, if it goes badly, we will welcome refugees with open arms. Those arms being machine guns and explosives. That we will move into the realm of Lifeboat ethics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lifeboat_ethics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lifeboat_ethics I do hope that do not take this path as it would become the greatest moment of shame for our whole species.