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> But this can't be right––for no one commits that fallacy I most certainly cannot agree with this premise. I’ve met many people who make this mistake all the
by milesvp 2y ago
> But this can't be right––for no one commits that fallacy
I most certainly cannot agree with this premise. I’ve met many people who make this mistake all the time. I even have a friend who is amongst the smartest people I know who honest to god thinks he’s lucky. He believes that there is some force that allows him to either effect the next said coin toss or allows him to devine the next coin toss. It’s wild, he’s even really good at board games too, so it’d be easy to think he might be lucky too.
- paxys 2y agoYeah, if people truly think that they've never been to a casino in their life. Go walk to any roulette table that shows the results of previous spins. You'll find multiple people going "it's been reds for a while, black is due" or "this machine gets more reds, you should bet on red".