4 ms·
No, the biggest stumbling block is that the US government spends far, far beyond its means. This can't go on forever. We are handing out money to everyone - the
by monero-xmr 3y ago
No, the biggest stumbling block is that the US government spends far, far beyond its means. This can't go on forever. We are handing out money to everyone - the military, renewable energy, semi conductors, car makers, municipalities, the list goes on and on and on. It has to stop, eventually. We are expanding the money supply and the interest on debt is ballooning.
As Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve said back in February:
> PELLEY: But is the national debt a danger to the economy in your review? You are this country's central banker.
> POWELL: So, it, I would say this. In the long run, the U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path. The U.S. federal government's on an unsustainable fiscal path. And that just means that the debt is growing faster than the economy. So, it is unsustainable. I don't think that's at all controversial. And I think we know that we have to get back on a sustainable fiscal path. And I think you're starting to hear now from people in the elected branches who can make that happen. It's time that we got back to that focus.
> I think the pandemic was a very special event, and it caused the government to really spend to ward off what looked like very severe downside risks. It's probably time, or past time, to get back to an adult conversation among elected officials about getting the federal government back on a sustainable fiscal path.
> PELLEY: I have the sense this worries you very much.
> POWELL: Over the long run, of course it does. You know, we're effectively — we're borrowing from future generations. And every generation really should pay for the things that it, that it needs. It can cause the federal government to buy the things that it needs for it, but it really should pay for those things and not hand the bills to our children and grandchildren.
> I think this is, again, not controversial. But it's difficult from a political standpoint. It's not our business, really. But I do think it's pretty widely understood that it's time for us to get back to putting a priority on fiscal sustainability. And sooner's better than later.
> PELLEY: Urgent?
> POWELL: You could say that it was urgent, yes.
https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2024/02/fed-chair-powell-its-past-time-to-address-our-national-debt#:~:text=Powell%20emphasized%20that%20fiscal%20policy,addressing%20the%20debt's%20structural%20drivers https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2024/02/fed-chair-powell-its-past-....
- senectus1 3y ago^this But not just the US. The US, The UK, My own Australia and more than anything CHINA. They're all printing money. Stealing from the future.
- monero-xmr 3y agoThis may sound obvious given my username: buy bitcoin!
- TacticalCoder 3y ago> ... And that just means that the debt is growing faster than the economy. Just like in the EU: they've been hiding "growth" behind public debt. But that's fake growth, where nothing of value is created. And there's a limit and that limit is now being reached. They'll kick the can down the road a bit more but... Out of the 150 cases or so throughout history where public debt reached crazy level, there's one case where it didn't go to complete shit: Japan. And somehow all these geniuses at the bar are certain they'll manage to pull a Japan and not fail miserably like in the 149 cases where the state did default. We have monkeys at the helm and it's going to end up ugly.
- ldayley 3y agoI think this is an important point since the cost of money is a big part of building and buying housing. There are other nuances contained in this exchange too. But beyond cost of money what, if any, specific argument are you making regarding housing? Lower subsidies in hopes the market follows? Further restrict the money supply to try and contain inflation? There are lots of second order effects that are too broad here, like high interest rates acting as a de facto subsidy to the wealthy (who then, maybe, buy more real estate, etc...
- monero-xmr 3y agoThe problem is not that housing or rent is causing inflation. That is a second order effect of what really causes inflation - handing out money, especially to unproductive sectors. Because we cannot build housing quickly, it inflates. Other sectors of the economy hide inflation better via shrinkflation, cheapening and degrading the product (i.e. poor quality inputs), among other solutions. But you can't create new housing fast enough to hide the fundamental monetary inflation - the same issue applies somewhat to education, medicine, and other areas with supply that can't expand quickly (for their own varied reasons).
- HDThoreaun 3y ago> We are expanding the money supply Money supply has actually been shrinking over the past 2 years https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS