3 ms·
Since 1975 it has been every 24 months. I have never heard the 12 month number until reading it on HN today. Someone at Intel at some point said 18 months, bu
by wtvanhest 14y ago
Since 1975 it has been every 24 months. I have never heard the 12 month number until reading it on HN today.
Someone at Intel at some point said 18 months, but it was most likely a 1 off conversation/presentation rather than a restatement of the law and occured well after 1975.
- Retric 14y ago12 months is what he actually said in 1965. The law is named after Intel co-founder Gordon E. Moore, who described the trend in his 1965 paper.[2][3][4] The paper noted that the number of components in integrated circuits had doubled every year from the invention of the integrated circuit in 1958 until 1965 and predicted that the trend would continue "for at least ten years".[5] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moores_law http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moores_law
- wtvanhest 14y agoI wish people would stop citing wiki on HN, especially without reading the entire page. On the exact same wiki page under history it says: Moore slightly altered the formulation of the law over time, in retrospect bolstering the perceived accuracy of his law.[17] Most notably, in 1975, Moore altered his projection to a doubling every two years.[18][19] Despite popular misconception, he is adamant that he did not predict a doubling "every 18 months." However, David House, an Intel colleague, had factored in the increasing performance of transistors to conclude that integrated circuits would double in performance every 18 months.[note 2]