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If there ever were a war between China and Taiwan, I think how cheap our chips are would be one of the least of our worries. If the U.S. got dragged into it, n
by rhelz 3y ago
If there ever were a war between China and Taiwan, I think how cheap our chips are would be one of the least of our worries. If the U.S. got dragged into it, nobody would be worried about chip prices for the next ten thousand years.
Diversifying the fab locations has no profit or business motivation. Seems to me the only reason we are doing it is to make it "less risky" to start a trade war.
The problem is a trade war will never be "less risky" for any country than the kind of nice, harmonious, trade we've had with China for the past 25 years. Its kept U.S. inflation low, enabled massive technological and manufacturing advances, and has lifted hundreds of millions of people into the middle class.
Its one of the best things that's ever happened in history. Why are we so eager to throw all that away?
Frankly, instead of making it easier for everybody to pick a fight with each other, it would be better if we just remember the fact that we actually are friends.
I love being able to design a circuit board, hit a button and have it manufactured in China and delivered to my front door in 5 days for $25. Let's just all go back to making money hand over fist, what say?
- mytailorisrich 3y agoThe US would never go to war against China. It is simply unrealistic. It'd be calibrated support like we're seeing in Ukraine but no direct engagement.
- AnimalMuppet 3y agoSo was World War I unrealistic. I mean, look, I'm not in favor of a shooting war between the US and China. But I'm not as sanguine as you are that it can't happen.
- rhelz 3y ago> World War I unrealistic. We're not talking about the first world war, we're talking about what would be the final world war. We can't be sanguine about it not happening, sure--we need to ensure it doesn't happen.
- hmmmcurious1 3y agoThey said the same about Putin bluffing, the world's political landscape is reconfiguring and America can't afford to look weak right now.
- rhelz 3y ago> I'd be calibrated like we're seeing in Ukraine This isn't the 1950's, and a proxy war with China now would be nothing like the Korean war. It would be nothing like a proxy war with Russia either. China has an order of magnitude more people, and the amount of trade between the U.S. and China is stupendous. If that trade were to abruptly stop, the whole world would be plunged into a depression deeper and longer than anything the world has ever seen. Tens of millions would die, just from the economic dislocations alone. Calibrated. Please don't try to minimize, contextualize, or legitimize any kind of war with China. We'd have to invent a new word, because "disastrous" or "cataclysmic" would even begin to describe it. God forbid anything like what is happening in Ukraine ever happens anywhere in the world again. We are 1/4 through the 21st Century for chrissakes there's no reason we can't resolve these things by negotiation. Its time for the human race to grow up.