3 ms·
The only long-term equilibrium states are: no one does or everyone does.
by Cyph0n 3y ago
The only long-term equilibrium states are: no one does or everyone does.
- dragonwriter 3y ago“Everyone does” have nuclear weapons, where “everyone” includes more than one independent sovereignty, is not a long-term equilibrium state, it is a metastable state, prone to rapid devolution to “no one does”, possibly with a side order if “there is no one to”.
- Cyph0n 3y agoI don’t know what you are responding to. I clearly stated that equilibrium is only attainable if everyone has access to nuclear weapons - as in every single sovereign nation - or no one. I prefer an equilibrium of the latter kind.
- dragonwriter 3y agoI am responding to you, and disagreeing with your claim that the first of your options is a viable long-term equilibrium, contending that that is only true under the degenerate condition of a single sovereignty, otherwise it is a metastable state [0], not a stable long-term equilibrium. [0] https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/oi/authority.20110803100153247 https://www.oxfordreference.com/display/10.1093/oi/authority...
- Cyph0n 3y agoAh I now see what you mean. I somehow misread your comment as “a single state with nuclear power implies everyone does”. Thanks for clarifying.
- Log_out_ 3y agoThat gives you constant empire driven world wars. With those weaker and in danger of getting annexed trying to get nukes desperately. Maybe consider real humans while evaluating game theory?
- Ekaros 3y agoI prefer later. As nuclear weapons are the great equalizer. A country with larger conventional army won't be able to bully smaller one... And you really need that sort of capability for equilibrium.