An important variable missing in the analysis is marital status -- married voters, especially women, are more likely to vote Republican than the unmarried. htt

An important variable missing in the analysis is marital status -- married voters, especially women, are more likely to vote Republican than the unmarried. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship-by-gender-sexual-orientation-marital-and-parental-status/ https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship... 'Married men and women are more likely to identify with or lean toward the Republican Party than their unmarried counterparts, with 59% of married men and half of married women oriented toward the GOP. And while majorities of both men and women voters who have never been married and do not live with a partner align with the Democratic Party, never-married women are particularly likely to do so'