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WillyF, I'd be more than happy to know "your" expected growth rate. Facebook has not disclosed its business plan, views on the online ad market, ongoing capita
by antr 14y ago
WillyF,
I'd be more than happy to know "your" expected growth rate. Facebook has not disclosed its business plan, views on the online ad market, ongoing capital expenditures and working capital needs.
Who's failed to provide future growth information is Facebook, not the other way.
More importantly, the Tech audience keeps looking at P/E as a valuation metric, but what rigorous and top asset managers do is look at Free Cash Flow to Equity, not Net Income. On a FCF to Equity valuation, FB IPOed at +220x.
Even at a generous P/E or FCF/E ratio of 25x, Facebook's Free Cash Flow needs to go from $450m to $4,000m in the next 24-36 months. Do you think that is possible? After looking at their infrastructure needs I think not.
I think it's you who has failed in the calculations.
- WillyF 14y agoHow can I fail in the calculations when I didn't offer any calculations? All I said is that if you're using P/E ratio as a metric without a growth rate, you're doing it wrong.
- foolinator 14y agoWillyF, the last comment was a big aggressive to you to bring home the point, but I believe the main point was that even with generous predictions on their future business plan (which as far we all know doesn't exist) that facebook is overvaluated by, well, a lot.
- antr 14y agoCase and point. thx