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Yeah, they just want to respond enough to not seem weak, but otherwise Iran is quite happy letting the spotlight be on Gaza. The biggest question now is what N

Yeah, they just want to respond enough to not seem weak, but otherwise Iran is quite happy letting the spotlight be on Gaza. The biggest question now is what Netanyahu will do as retaliation(which he did promise).

xenospn 3y ago
He won’t do shit. No one wants a war with Iran. They’ll just keep bombing their targets in Syria and Lebanon.
- mytailorisrich 3y ago
  That's most likely, indeed.
- tptacek 3y ago
  Countries outside of Iran are where Iran's military actually operates. The Lebanon embassy strike wasn't a reprisal: they killed the commander of the Quds Force in Lebanon. I think --- unfortunately --- that you're actually quite wrong, and that the Netanyahu administration would be more than happy to be engaged in an open war with Iran (which they would with certainty win, not just because of US support, and not just because the IDF/IAF is much better equipped than the IRGC, but also because the entire rest of the region is locked in an Arab/Persia conflict that is if anything more salient than the one Israel is in). Iran's air assault response here looks surprisingly weak. They telegraphed it in advance, clearly set it up to avoid causing any major civilian disruption, announced "the matter can be deemed concluded", and basically managed to create a giant advertisement for Boeing and for pan-Arab resistance to Iran. Ever since October 7, the vibe I get is that they're trying to Homer themselves back into the hedges as quickly as they can.
  - juliusdavies 3y ago
    It’s a replay of their Soleimani response which they also telegraphed in advance, only targeted military targets, and also resulted in zero fatalities. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Martyr_Soleimani https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Martyr_Soleimani I see a clear message of: “please stop assassinating our generals, and next time we won’t be saying please.”

xenospn 3y ago

He won’t do shit. No one wants a war with Iran. They’ll just keep bombing their targets in Syria and Lebanon.

mytailorisrich 3y ago
That's most likely, indeed.
tptacek 3y ago
Countries outside of Iran are where Iran's military actually operates. The Lebanon embassy strike wasn't a reprisal: they killed the commander of the Quds Force in Lebanon. I think --- unfortunately --- that you're actually quite wrong, and that the Netanyahu administration would be more than happy to be engaged in an open war with Iran (which they would with certainty win, not just because of US support, and not just because the IDF/IAF is much better equipped than the IRGC, but also because the entire rest of the region is locked in an Arab/Persia conflict that is if anything more salient than the one Israel is in). Iran's air assault response here looks surprisingly weak. They telegraphed it in advance, clearly set it up to avoid causing any major civilian disruption, announced "the matter can be deemed concluded", and basically managed to create a giant advertisement for Boeing and for pan-Arab resistance to Iran. Ever since October 7, the vibe I get is that they're trying to Homer themselves back into the hedges as quickly as they can.
- juliusdavies 3y ago
  It’s a replay of their Soleimani response which they also telegraphed in advance, only targeted military targets, and also resulted in zero fatalities. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Martyr_Soleimani https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Martyr_Soleimani I see a clear message of: “please stop assassinating our generals, and next time we won’t be saying please.”