There are lot of people in the second group who got fired during the layoffs of 2023. They are very much subjected to the same supply demand curve. In fact they

There are lot of people in the second group who got fired during the layoffs of 2023. They are very much subjected to the same supply demand curve. In fact they are subjected more to it than the experienced developers. After the layoffs, the market seems to have taken a K shape. Experienced developers are very much in demand and inexperienced ones are not in demand. Most of the college grads and even masters students are part of the inexperienced developers group. I personally know masters students who got layed off while the folks with bachelors and higher work experience are still working. The first bucket in your answer is barely affected in last layoffs as most of them are experienced developers. The second is the most affected.