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> Short answer for why they would is the economy broadly can't sustain rates this high. I disagree, but... Putting aside the fed and the degree they can set i
by game_the0ry 3y ago
> Short answer for why they would is the economy broadly can't sustain rates this high.
I disagree, but...
Putting aside the fed and the degree they can set interest rates at the long end of the yield curve - what you are saying is that rates will go down bc the economy can't sustain the debt (in your words - "economy will hit a brick wall and prices and rates will fall"). In other words, there would be a recession bc interest rates are too high.
By the time that recession hits, people will be losing job - people sell assets (houses + stocks) when they lose their jobs.
In the event that the fed lowers rates, it will be bc of a recession, not to prevent one. By then, the damage is done.
- PKop 3y agoYea that's why I mentioned unemployment being so low now, nowhere to go but up, and once it does that will exacerbate recession. I do think Fed will lower because of recession yes. The damage will be done yes. It sounds like you do agree.