4 ms·

A lot of historians are drawing parallels between recent events and the events leading up to WW1. I’m not an expert, but it isn’t absurd to say that it could ha

• nprateem 2y ago
  That's like investors trying to predict a crash. You can only ever make sense of things retrospectively.
  • hiddencost 2y ago
    First land war in Europe since WW2, 500K casualties, idk what you want in terms of empiricism here, but, uh ...
    • Izkata 2y ago
      Don't forget how alliances/treaties/etc kept pulling more countries in, turning a local conflict into WWI. I think that's the bigger parallel.
    • nprateem 2y ago
      What? If they could have predicted the severity of WWII, Chamberlain and the rest wouldn't have tried to appease Hitler or delay. Predicting the severity of events in advance is difficult. I wouldn't listen to what historians predict today. Every catastrophe is different, but despite this people like to pretend (after the fact) all the signs were there and were obvious. For all we know Ukraine will stay confined and China will just keep being belligerent but take no action.
• deleted 2y ago
  [deleted]