We find ourselves, in 2024, with unemployment levels (at least in the US) at near all-time lows. This is after centuries of mechanization and automation, decade

We find ourselves, in 2024, with unemployment levels (at least in the US) at near all-time lows. This is after centuries of mechanization and automation, decades of the computer and internet revolutions (which have barely any steam left, compared to the previuous ~70 years of rapid improvement), and with a global demographic shift that will actually require significant productivity improvements (as in "more output per worker") just to maintain existing quality of life with an increasingly aged population. China is probably losing 1M+ workers a year for the foreseeable future (their workforce actually peaked in 2015!). LLM-style AI is going to cause such a tidal wave of garbage that it's not even obvious to me that it will be a net increase to productivity at all, let alone make us all so productive that there will be a massive unemployment crisis. It's definitely going to affect some specific jobs, just the way other jobs have come and gone for centuries now, but I'm not convinced it will improve productivity as much as we actually need it to.