Total elimination is not plausible, but de-skilling certainly is. It is already happening. Anywhere a technique becomes standardised, reuse then simplifies pro

Total elimination is not plausible, but de-skilling certainly is. It is already happening. Anywhere a technique becomes standardised, reuse then simplifies programming. For example: relational databases -- developers don't have to create data storage systems anymore (mostly), they just use what exists. And there are many other similar pieces all over, especially with the rise of the net and web and open-source. But one of the results is probably growth in usage, and that would then increase the need for developers, of all levels. So perhaps de-skilling, as a means to reduce need for programmers, won't actually work.