3 ms·
https://news.gallup.com/poll/509501/six-americans-drink-alcohol.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/509501/six-americans-drink-alco... Nearly 40% of respondents t
by bartonfink 3y ago
https://news.gallup.com/poll/509501/six-americans-drink-alcohol.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/509501/six-americans-drink-alco... Nearly 40% of respondents to a Gallup poll don't. That seems high to me, but I would expect somewhere around 15% of people to abstain. But then again I'm not so full of myself to put "data science" in my name on here and say obviously incorrect stuff.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- datascienced 3y agoWhat I am saying is someone who is very ill will not drink, because they are very ill. So regardless of what alcohol does or doesn't do, your non drinking cohort includes all the people who are very ill and don't drink, which I assume is a larger effect than the people who are very ill and drink anyway (due to alcoholism or yolo). Let's say 40% don't drink, 60% do. If 1% of the population are terminally ill. Of those 90% don't drink, 10% do. Then for 1000 people: 10 are terminally ill. 9 don't drink 1 does. 1000 is the total pop. Of those: * 400 don't drink, and 9 of those are terminally ill. * 600 drink and 1 of those is terminally ill. Let's say terminally ill reduces life expectancy by 20 years. The life lost per person due to terminal illness in the non-drinking category is 20 * 9/400, which is 0.45 years. For drinkers it is 20 * 1/600 = 0.03 years.