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I don’t think the political factor is as big as you’d think. Norway is an oil country and has a really high share of climate skeptics. Yet EVs are selling very
by audunw 3y ago
I don’t think the political factor is as big as you’d think. Norway is an oil country and has a really high share of climate skeptics. Yet EVs are selling very well. I think most people will drop their political objections to EVs the moment they find them practical and/or economical. All it takes is a few friends that have them and take you for a ride.
Clear drawbacks? Absolutely, but that goes for many technologies that follow an S curve (logistics curve)
Cell phones was bulky and expensive to start with and until surprisingly recently the audio quality was awful.
I’m not entirely convinced of the “second-hand car” factor if there’s a downturn. There’s only so many second hand cars. Eventually they break down to the point that it’s not worth maintaining to maintain them. Having cars at all means there needs to be a stream of new cars coming into the market.
The economic factor could easily go in favour of EVs very soon. A small electric car built from the ground up to be as cheap as possible could soon compete with ICE on purchase price. Like a Tesla Model 2 with 48V architecture and LFP batteries, and similar models from other car makers. The main reason we haven’t seen these models yet is that there isn’t enough battery manufacturing capacity in the world to satisfy the demand such a model would generate. But the shovel is in the ground for these factories right now. If you look at the list of battery factories being built for the automotive sector it’s insane. “Gigafactory” was a mind-blowing concept when Tesla first built their GWh scale battery factory just a few years ago. Now there’s countless GWh-scale factories being planned and built all over the world.
- tzs 3y ago> I don’t think the political factor is as big as you’d think. Norway is an oil country and has a really high share of climate skeptics. Yet EVs are selling very well. I think most people will drop their political objections to EVs the moment they find them practical and/or economical. It looks like they would indeed be quite economical there. Norway has high gasoline prices and low electricity prices. Electricity costs per kilometer for an EV charged at ordinary consumer rates look like they would be about 1/6th the gasoline cost per kilometer for an ICE car that gets about 40 miles per gallon or about 17 kilometer per liter.