I think I phrased myself poorly, the racoon dog part is the probability where it's a Zoonotic origin The probability of someone getting infected from a racoon

I think I phrased myself poorly, the racoon dog part is the probability where it's a Zoonotic origin The probability of someone getting infected from a racoon dog is much higher than the joined probability required for the lab leak. Someone from the lab only infecting a single person is only a part of the probability of the lab leak, then there's the likelihood of them either going to the market or being close enough to the vendor to cause an infection at some other place I think Peter's argument is that given the amount of conditionals for that to occur it has a low likelihood compared to a racoon dog infecting just one of the people at the market that day