4 ms·

I would make the same bet you're making. But, is nationalization or selloff on the bingo cards? Total mental meltdown of Musk?

• friend_and_foe 3y ago
  He specifically said bankruptcy, so that's the criteria. I'm dead serious BTW, I see it as easy money. I don't usually tell shit talkers to put their money where their mouth is, but the parent is so outlandish a tangible reality check is warranted. Nationalization... I doubt it. America's preference for regulated private development has worked really well so far. Private selloff, so long as the work continues that gave the company value in the first place I don't see that impacting their trajectory. Nonetheless I don't see them doing it for the foreseeable future, they're on track to become the most valuable company in the world (or in the solar system if they succeed) and stewardship by an incumbent conglomerate that couldn't have in their wildest dreams accomplished what spacex has would really hurt their prestige. Musk melting down is not something I'd expect to negatively impact the spacex project either, depending who you ask it's already happened and his companies seem to be doing fine hyperbole aside. Those are all more likely than bankruptcy and not likely to lead to failure of the company or it's goals so I wouldn't want to bet on those one way or another.