It's hard to say. Historically federal convictions were very strict, requiring you to serve at least 85% of your sentence. The First Step Act passed in 2018 sig

It's hard to say. Historically federal convictions were very strict, requiring you to serve at least 85% of your sentence. The First Step Act passed in 2018 significantly relaxed that down to 50% for non-violent crimes[1]. I don't know if there is enough data yet to determine how common or easy it will be for convicts get their sentenced reduced by that much. [1]Specifically for crimes not included in this long list: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/3632#d_4_D https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/3632#d_4_D